Cartoon courtesy: The Hindu dated 4th January 2010
Saturday, January 9, 2010
An idea whose time has come?
Cartoon courtesy: The Hindu dated 4th January 2010
Thursday, December 31, 2009
2010; Here we come!
Although personally 2009 was not too bad and is the year which saw the start of “An Indian and A Retailer” as also its rapid acceptance and widespread popularity as seen from the 10K plus walkins in less than a year. Thanks to all of you for that.
2010 is awaited and everyone might have a wish list or two. May as many wishes as possible come true for everyone. The coming year is expected to be a milestone in terms of how economies manage the recovery, how companies leverage opportunities that are sure to emerge in the recovery phase. Indian Retail is also expected to have an exciting journey and a few things that I expect to happen are –
- Consolidation - either by collaboration or purchase. There is not enough of aggregation of volumes for a true retail play and this might change with either collaboration in the back end or simple M&A.
- Coming of age of the conventional outlets: The humble Kirana proved that their business model is not only sustainable but also recession proof and robust. With increasing awareness and education I am sure that this hardy tribe would leverage their business model to become better and more competitive.
- Beyond ERP: Post the scramble to implement the big bucks ERP everyone was struggling to get it right and in no mood to look at any other IT initiative. A whole host of tactical and strategic IT solutions exists and now is the time for Retailers to start exploring and exploiting such solutions.
- GST? I am not brave enough to predict that GST would come in and change the way trade happens in India. But, I definitely hope that this happens soon and in 2010 itself. As also, I wish that the government starts recognizing Retail as an important industry segment and accords it due recognition and support.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
What an idea!
Anyways.
Coming back to the story, I realized that the person was actually noting down something from the shelves. I could think of only two possibilities; one being that he was checking the stocks or he was checking the prices and was from a competing store.
(Please overlook the poor quality of the picture as it was taken with my mobile in indoor lighting)
My curiosity was piqued and I approached him to enquire. He was indeed taking stock and also taking down the requirements for each of the SKUs as he was the distributor’s representative. Being very impressed by this use of technology I requested a picture of his devise, which is what one can see here.
It is indeed heartening to see the slow intrusion of such technology into Indian Retail which has typically chosen man power options in the technology vs. people cost benefit analysis.
This person visits the stores, checks the stocks and captures the requirements, goes back to office and updates everything by plugging his phone to a computer. Technically he need not even go to the office and can do this from anywhere by sending it over a call or as a message.
This is just a representative use of technology in retail which is today affordable and helps increase efficiency and productivity. More importantly, the accuracy increases vastly in a context where data accuracy was guestimated to be anywhere from 60% to 80%.
Of course there are myriad such things which can bring about significant operating changes and shall detail a few in the coming posts.
Lastly one should remember why adopting such technologies is considered difficult in the Indian context. It is simply a matter of cost.
Quite a few number of years ago when a new store was being planned, the debate was about having a hand held, radio frequency based device to manage stock receiving, inventory checking, etc. versus having it done manually. Needless to say the manual way won out because the other option costed some 3 or 4 times that of doing it manually. With technology costs coming down (take the case of Netbooks) Indian Retail might find the time right to explore some interesting technological options in several functional areas. However, the fact of the matter is that a device that appears affordable at USD 1,000, might trigger second thoughts because; at INR 45,000 for a 3,000 sq. ft. store, it is Rs. 15 per sq. ft. and the meter starts ticking if multiple such devices are required to make it effective.
Sunday, November 29, 2009
Supply chain tangle, untangle
The large land mass with poor and in some cases nil infrastructure is challenging enough. Add to that myriad taxes and levies that are imposed from state to state. GST which was supposed to have been introduced from April 2010 appears to be delayed.
The variance between farm gate to end consumer price can be as high as 4 times for tomatoes largely because of damages which could be as much as 40%.
Sunday, November 22, 2009
Bucking the trend
December 15th to January 15th is a period called Margazhi in the Tamil calendar and this is somewhat similar to the shradh period observed in Northern Indian. Margazhi is supposed to be a month dedicated to devotion and prayer. Marriages are not conducted during this period and usually any materialistic activity like big ticket purchases is avoided in this month.
Although the idea and intent of this belief was steeped in tradition, religion and culture, it did hurt the Retailers of big ticket items rather badly. Lack of marriage led purchases coupled with people not making even routine purchases for their home led to very sharp decline in sales and usually left the Retailer and manufacturers with large inventory levels at the end of the year.
One innovative Retailer decided to buck this trend and started the concept of year end “Cost Price Sale”. The USP of this activity was very simple and of great interest to consumers. The initial few years saw this sale being conducted on the 30th and 31st of December and the 1st of January. Advertisements and adequate publicity created enough consumer craze and even mild hysteria to get the best deals. All the previous conditioning of Margazhi went out of the window and one could see hordes of people thronging the outlets. It went to such an extent that the Retailer had to take separate premises to conduct this sale in order to manage the crowds.
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Making a mountain out of a molehill
This is a classic example of misunderstanding or maybe even misrepresenting facts to create a distorted perspective. In that context, let us do a reality check by examining certain facts without colouring them in any way.
First is the study itself. This is based on a confidential survey of only 1069 Retailers, although 4,200 large retailers were supposedly contacted. Which means that 75% of those contacted did not reply or participate in the study. I wonder why?
I have tried to see what kind of a questionnaire was used and am unable to access a copy online. So, will limit my view to the simple fact that one cannot, I repeat, one cannot effectively measure theft. At best it is an opinion expressed. What a Retailer can measure in the difference between physical and system stock. How can this be segmented with precise percentages between theft and other reasons.
There are various components of shrinkage. Wrong receipts, Wrong billing, Inaccurate stock audits, Unaccounted breakage/ damages and of course willful theft in transit or by store staff or customers. Any retailer can first of all only measure the overall shrinkage and even that is a guesstimate in the case of many operators. To expect them to be able to measure the component of shoplifting is incredibly hilarious. I just loved the decimals in the figure of 45.2% of shoplifting and 23.3% employee theft! It does create an aura of absolute accuracy.
So, it means that the entire range of system and process related issues are responsible for only 31.5% (Note the decimal point!) of the shrinkage. Having been in the industry for so long this is incredibly unbelievable. Most Retailers would state that their fill rates hover between 70% to 85%. In a context where system inefficiencies cannot ensure optimum stocking, to state that the contribution of system/ process errors is far lower than theft is at best wishful thinking.
Only the shrinkage figure of 3.2% has some validity because it is objective and is based on reality. In fact even that is suspect in the case of certain operators who do not have a robust stock audit system in place.
Let’s retain some objectivity when reviewing such reports and not get carried away by fancy headlines and provocative reporting.
Friday, November 13, 2009
Interesting experiences of Customer Orientation
Saturday, November 7, 2009
Whai arhe bhe insiting on Enghlish!
I have seen Hotel Vegetable and Non Vegetable!
Internationally speaking, the French are proud of their language and so is the case with many other countries. Why should we bend over backwards to prove that we know better English that most others, which is also incidentally the fact!
Monday, October 26, 2009
How will they do assortment planning!!
While walking through this shop I started marvelling about the challenge they would face with regards to assortment planning and inventory control. Understanding such diversities of Indian Retail is what would help create a world class Retail mechanism in India.
Sunday, October 18, 2009
A truly different store!!
- A truly different store
- Differentiated and relevant assortment
Friday, October 16, 2009
Happy Deepavali/ Diwali!
This is one festival or social occasion which not only unites the country (which even the myriad languages are not able to do)but more importantly, this is a true Retailer’s festival.
Hey, all this is fine, but where does Retail figure in all this?
First of all, for most North Indian traders and businessmen Diwali is the auspicious start. I still recall the visits to the cloth wholesale markets with my father where on Diwali night, Laxmi puja would be done and the books of accounts taken from the Puja and a fresh set of accounts started. So, in that context, Diwali is definitely a trader/ retailer festival as it is unique to them.
At a slightly larger scale, pan India, the Diwali season accounts for anywhere upto 60% of a Retailer’s annual sales. Which other festival or occasion can come close to this in terms of Sales?
So, in that spirit – as an Indian and a Retailer, where Deepavali or Diwali is the biggest thing for most Indians, WISHING ALL MY READERS AND SUPPORTERS A VERY HAPPY DEEPAVALI/ DIWALI & A Very Prosperous Year Ahead. Special wishes to my Retail brethren, for the cash tills to ring continuously, loud and long during this festive occasion.
Friday, October 9, 2009
Intricacies of Indian Retail
However, there are several factors that an international operator needs to be aware of and more importantly build into their entry strategy, failing which, even after FDI opens up the going would not be smooth.
- Competition – Apart from the thousands of corporate chain stores that now dot the Indian Retailscape, there are approximately 12 million conventional outlets. Of these, roughly 60% to 70% are grocery stores and a third is in urban centers. Taking into account the geographical spread of India, this simply means that there are far more number of stores in cities and they continue to offer a compelling value proposition, fronted by convenience.
- Also, the conventional stores operate with a significant cost structure advantage as also generate far higher sales per sq. ft. because of their smaller size. Such stores would definitely not be able to generate higher margins as compared to chain stores, especially those who leverage global sourcing. However, the relatively higher sales and far lower cost structure would enable these stores to comfortably take on any competition in their stride. Therefore, any chain store would require a dual strategy to manage competition from other chain stores as also the large number of neighborhood conventional outlets.
- The Indian consumer – The consumer behavior is changing towards increased consumption and preference for a better lifestyle. However, the core sense of thrift and caution has not been eroded completely and the recent downturn has made these consumers more value driven. So pricing and promotions are not just important, they are crucial.
- Indian cities – Barring a few newer cities, most have grown and morphed over the years. A substantial part of this development happened without zoning laws and therefore the cities have residential areas interspersed with commercial development. It is only in the past few years that well defined residential suburbs have come about and even that has not completely removed residences from city centers. If a store wants to leverage all the relevant catchment areas, real estate costs are higher in most parts of a city. If the store network plans on averaging this by having stores in the emerging residential suburbs, the sales would usually be inverse to the rental and by that logic the average sales would be lower.
- Supply chain – The sheer physical spread of the country makes for a challenge with regards to supply chain. Compounding this is the current taxation and levies which does not allow for a distribution center network that can be planned basis distance alone. However, the recent budget proposal to implement GST by 2010 is a step in the right direction and would go a long way in enabling chains to plan more efficient supply chain system.
- Other statutory and legal framework constraints – Today a store needs to obtain as many as 20 – 30 different licenses to start operations and usually from different authorities. Similarly, there is a legislation called APMC act in most states which effectively prohibits direct procurement from farmers. Some cities levy an entry tax called Octroi, which indirectly forces a retailer to either set up a distribution center in a higher rent area within the city or incur higher transportation costs for store fills.
- MRP – Although there are many instances of price regulation in the retail sector across the world, I don’t think any other country enforces the Maximum Retail Price (MRP) rule. This price is printed on product and is applicable on all packaged products. This price is used to calculate certain taxes and manufacturers peg the margin structure with regards to this. As a corporate entity any chain store does not have the luxury of selling above this price and hence it acts like a glass ceiling. Even in high cost locations where the catchment might not be particularly bothered about the price, a retailer can sell only at MRP, whereas in price sensitive areas one is forced to discount, especially for KVIs.
I guess by now the reader would have concluded that my secret mission is to deter any international retailer from entering the Indian market. However, that is not the case. My intent is to portray a realistic picture that balances the huge market potential of Indian Retail with the ground realities that one would have to manage.
My suggestion to any international operator watching the Indian Retailscape with the intent of future entry would be to do so immediately leveraging the Cash & Carry route, simply because it is now immediately possible and would enable any retailer to build a ‘game changing’ back end infrastructure.
30% to 40% of Indian consumption is basic staples and grocery items as also fresh produce. Significant work needs to be done in this sphere to extract value from the supply chain. Being dependent on the same wholesale/ semi-wholesale chain with marginal infrastructure at the tail end will not help. Paradigm changing initiatives like end to end cold chain, cooperative/ corporate farm, etc. should be explored and indulged in to extract the value that is present, but is now lost due to damages and intermediaries. The APMC act not withstanding, such initiatives are possible and would provide a competitive edge to any retailer.
The game changer for a new entrant would not be setting up yet another store with maybe better facilities but in offering a significantly better value proposition. And for that, the key would be the back end.
Moving away from the food segment, several other product categories have not even been explored; Home Improvement being one. Housing being a key aspiration for Indians, the economic recovery will definitely see a boom in this sector. A retailer who understands the intricacies of Indian Retail would only stand to garner a major share of this boom.
In summary I would state that bring on the global best practices, but Indianize it for it to work, and it will.
Friday, October 2, 2009
Consumer insights; I don’t know how to make the right choice!
- I have seen ladies sift through rice and hold it up and sniff at it. Most cases when I have asked, they could not tell what exactly they were looking for! This is not an issue of not being able to articulate. This is simply a habit.
- Even today when one buys vegetables which are not packed, there would be a significant number of ladies fingers which have been mutilated and left behind! Again habit based on an assumption that only those whose tips snap away sharply are tender and worth buying. This particular habit is comical and irritating in equal parts when one sees a customer busily snapping away at the ladies finger and then tossing a few aside for others. I have checked some of the ladies fingers which have been so disdainfully rejected, only to find that they are as good as the others.
- Customers purchasing furniture in many cases tend to knock on the wooden surface as if it was an occult material that would yield up secrets. These same customers would be completely lost when asked about MDF. The extent of their information is that the furniture seems to be solid (Usually meaning, made of wood) or otherwise (Which means, it is usually particle board)
And so on and on.
Although, the extent of such uninformed buying depends on category, the most vulnerable is grocery - simply because in the case of most other product categories like electronics or apparel there is a benchmark in terms of various brands. In fact my view is that the concept of brands is itself largely driven by this ignorance and therefore the consumer needs to be reassured.
How does this influence retail?
Any retailer who understands this and follows a practice of doing things which would help address, allay and comfort the customer will be ahead of the game.
An obvious action point is to accept replacements and returns as mentioned in the earlier post. The more enduring step would be to engage the customer and educate the customer.
It could be simple things like circulating small pamphlets or leaflets about the product, signage or VM in the store or ideally by organising interactions with customers which would engage and educate the customers.
Saturday, September 26, 2009
Consumer Insights; Am I doing the right thing?
I could not understand the concept of no items can be replaced or returned. This smacks of totalitarian attitude and assumes that the customer is actually more of a “con” sumer.
In that context the kirana store’s attitude used to be and is still a refreshing change. Many a time I have seen products including bags of rice being sent back and the same being replaced.
How does the kirana store owner manage to do it whereas many larger stores are afraid (Yes, afraid!!) to extend this basic customer service?
Simply because the he is a far more astute businessman completely tuned into the basic psyche of a consumer. Almost everyone has experienced the phenomenon called post purchase dissonance. Which basically translates into concern/ worry/ dissatisfaction with regard to the choices made and the product(s) purchased.
The Kirana guy eliminates this by giving the customers a psychological comfort which over a period of time grows into the foundation of his business - the trust of the customer - and therefore a habit to purchase from that store.
Most Corporate Retailers have taken this lesson, but whether it is to heart or is it lip service is something that I leave you to think about. The reason for my ambivalence is, although most of them have a replacement or returns policy, the on-the-ground experience for a customer who wishes to avail this is still not a very pleasant experience.
The usual culprits - internal policies, procedures and paper work ensures that the staff are apprehensive in extending this without any questions asked and in the process make the entire consumer experience most painful.
Lastly, if I don’t have the confidence that the retailer would support me in my moment of post purchase dissonance or even a genuine quality problem, would my loyalty be with that retailer?
Friday, September 18, 2009
Delivering a memorable customer experience
The faith and trust a customer places in a retailer is a function of his shopping experience. Unless a Retailer works towards creating a memorable experience, the chances of success is very slim. There are many ways to achieve this objective. The Kirana stores use a one on one personalised approach which cannot be duplicated by Corporate Retail. So, how should Corporate Retail manage this crucial element?
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Some views about Corporate Retail
But then I can’t be blind to the handicaps and shortcomings of this segment too.
So, why is corporate retail struggling against all the conventional ones - be it the ubiquitous kaka ka dukaan or naadar kadai or some of the larger ones.
Friday, August 28, 2009
Why social networking sites are not being used by Indian Retail?
- Create a followers base of all regular/ loyal customers and tweet all promotions and offers details.
- Leverage this medium to increase the followers’ base by offering some exclusive powerful offers only to twitter followers with a unique alphanumeric code. They need to show this tweet at the cash-till wherein this is captured for audit purposes and the promotion is extended to the customer.
- Leverage the power of retweet to increase reach and the number of loyal customers.
Create a database of potential part time employees who can be sent tweets in times of special promotions where extra man power is required. - Conversely, customers can tweet their feedback/ suggestions and complaints which can be directed to the respective department with a date and time stamp to track closure and measure reaction time.
Sceptics would debate about the penetration and awareness of such applications amongst the Indian shopper, especially the India Housewife. All I can say is that there are lots of net savvy housewives and individuals in India today and these initiatives will only create further impetus for others to take to this. I recall a news report way back in 2007 which talked about how housewives are increasingly doing online trading in shares! I rest my case.
In fact several consumer review sites like mouthshut.com are being ignored by retail marketers, assuming people are even aware of the same! This site has close to 90 listings each for one of the corporate chains and similarly significant number of reviews about others. I wonder if this is being even seen or tracked by anyone and reverted to? At least is someone aware that such a thing is there on the net and I am talking about only one such site. Word of mouth advertising is the most powerful toll for a retailer and ignoring such public feedback is not going to help the lakhs and crores of marketing spends being indulged by these retailers.
In summary, there seems to be a serious dearth of creativity in Indian Retail with regard to maximising the marketing efforts and budgets available. What has been done since the mid 90’s in terms of product and price communications, using red and yellow seems to be a clichéd, repetitive pattern. I for one do not believe in knocking the old, tried and tested methods. But I also do not recommend being blind to new developments and not exploring every such new opportunities, especially low cost and high impact options.
Sunday, August 23, 2009
Is there a fear psychosis?
Retail or trading as it used to be in those days has truly been the building blocks of an empire. Even today Retail in most developed countries is the largest employment provider and a significant contributor to the economy. In India too this might be the case, excepting that no one knows the true picture because of the fragmented nature of this sector.
The above picture prompted another thought. Is there a strong fear psychosis behind not allowing international retailers into India? Is there concern about a repeat of East India Company? The fact of the matter is that retail as a sector would definitely be a strong component of any economy. The government needs to think along the lines of allowing retail FDI while retaining strong control and curbs and not be blind to its benefits because of what happened centuries ago.
Lastly, I am not too familiar with the retail FDI rules in the UK but from what I know there has been no space for Retail players from other countries apart from a few exceptions where international operators have taken over UK Retailers such as ASDA.
Is that an alternative route to go about developing Indian Retail? Focus on enabling local corporates to build a strong and vibrant industry?
Regardless of the route chosen, the government can ill afford to sit on a fence dithering about how to manage this industry while consumers are voting through their wallets for the modern formats and chain stores.
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Private Label Strategy - Part I
First they define the branding strategy for private label. This is very important because this will not only guide the choice of products but also the features to be included, the packaging, pricing, etc. Typically the retailer adopts an overall private label strategy. The usual strategy used by the majority of retailers is to follow a good; better; best approach.
This strategy clearly defines the portfolio into three segments. The ‘Good’ segment is often the base version or functional products wherein the features are matched but the pricing is significantly competitive. The ‘Better’ segment operates on either better or additional features at similar prices or even lower prices. The ‘Best’ segment is the top end of the portfolio and has a dual role. This segment apart from enhancing the category offering helps to build the overall store imagery as also ensure that the private label portfolio is perceived to be comprehensive and not only cheap products.
Next is the approach to the branding of these products. At a macro level there are two options. One is to use an unrelated brand name for the products and the other is to leverage the store’s name as a prefix followed by a branding which is often a descriptor like Value, Premium, Organic, etc.
Most retailers seem to veer towards the store brand with sub brands for each group as against a generic unrelated name. However, it is not uncommon to see unrelated brand names in certain situations like in the case of Apparels, where customers would prefer some nice names instead of XYZ Cottons. Also, in the Indian context where retailers are experimenting with trying to also distribute the store brands to the trade, have the store name on the product might not work.
Once the overall private label strategy has been finalized and agreed upon, detailed guidelines with regards to the product differentiation, segment classification, packaging guidelines, etc are developed and circulated.
The trading team in the meanwhile would have identified products which would qualify for a private label. This is done basis two main criteria; is there an existing gap in terms of product and/ or price, is the current offering generic and therefore offers an opportunity to create a brand and leverage the first mover advantage. The selected products are then evaluated and the suitable positioning is decided basis the guidelines for each of the segment - good; better; best.
Private Label Strategy - Part II
The answer is an unqualified Yes. The effort is more than worth it. Let us see how.
The biggest benefit lies in benefiting from the differentiated cost structure. A retailer typically leverages the existing manufacturing capability of someone else and hence does not have to incur fixed costs with regards to manufacturing. This is a clear savings and a significant one. Second, most store brands leverage existing technology and as such there is no R&D cost to be recovered. Third, there is no need for a separate sales team to generate demand and hence the cost of that effort is also saved.
China’s emergence as a manufacturing base for the world has created a lot more of opportunities for private labels which international retailers are keenly taking advantage off. This is basis the cost advantage detailed above.
Next, a good and well planned private label portfolio helps the retailer in increasing sales in addition to margins. The cost advantage enables the retailer to price these products significantly lower and/ or give added features too. Not only does this induce customers to switch to private label products which deliver higher margins, but in most cases it also increases the overall category sales. This is because of the fact that brand loyalists continue to patronize the brands and many new customers start purchasing the private label products.
Most importantly, store brands offers an exclusivity that further fosters loyalty of the shopper and creates yet another strong reason to shop at a particular chain only.
So, the rewards of a private label program goes beyond just margins and sales and over a period of time can become an important element of the overall strategy. Is it any wonder that some chains generate more than 40% – 50% of their sales from private label products.