Time to change the current Lose:Lose scenario

"The Hindu" today had this outstanding cartoon which captures the essence of India's problem with supply chain, agri sourcing, etc., which is directly impacting both the farmers and the end consumers. Drastic and immediate change is required starting from relooking at the agri sourcing systems and laws like APMC, Focus on supply chain and cold chain and last but not the least enabling modern Retail chains to invest in this space.

Image coutesy- The Hindu, dated 21st August 2012

Vagaries of Indian Supply Chain

Sometime ago I had posted a picture of a truck with agri produce being transported on a barge across a river. Yesterday I happened to see this picture of camels transporting water melons. This brings to fore the point I have made in “The INDIAN reTALEs” about Indian Retail and SCM being a unique animal (pun intended w.r.t the camel) and needs to be understood well to be managed.

Imagine trying to apply international best practices like fleet optimization to this herd of camels, you will get the idea!!

Photo Courtesy: The Hindu

What a Birthday present!!

Almost to the day, it has been a year since “An Indian and A Retailer” made its debut. The thoughts of this blog grew into an in-depth, experiential book about Indian Retail, titled “The INDIAN reTALEs”.

All this happened in the space of the past 365 or maybe 366 days!

And on the first birthday of the blog, I hold a physical copy of “The INDIAN reTALEs” and wish a very happy birthday to the blog.

This book has been published by Unicorn Books and is now available for purchase with an online discount of 25% at pustakmahal (dot) com. It would be available at leading book stores over the next couple of weeks.

Please start enquiring at your nearest book store about the book and get your hands on it as soon as possible.

Thanks to everyone who supported, encouraged and motivated me along this journey. Hope you enjoy reading the tales as much as you have this blog.

To be launched soon...

March 20th, 2009 is a memorable day as that is when I started the blog “An Indian and A Retailer”. It was actually started suddenly on a whim and before I knew, it had gained a life and momentum of its own. A whole lot of people saw the blog, wrote to me and commented on the posts. Very soon, it was being quoted by Retail and Strategy consultants during their presentations.

I came to know about the widespread popularity of the blog when one such consultant referred to a post during their presentation regarding supply chain. Several members of the audience were my good friends and ex colleagues. Obviously they wasted no time in calling me up and congratulating me.

The blog has been receiving a steady viewership and the walk-in counter is set to cross the 12,000 mark soon. Indicating that on an average 1,000 odd people view my blog every month. 30, persons a day. Not bad for something I started just like that!

My sincere thanks to all those who have steadily viewed and supported the blog.

This support and motivation was voiced to me by several visitors to the blog in the form of a suggestion. Why not write a book. Their contention was that given the depth and detail of Retail information and knowledge available, why not expand on the same and publish a book. It would reach more people and benefit them.

In June 2009, I started acting on this suggestion and worked on putting a book together while contacting publishers. March 2010, this dream effort is ready to see the light of the day. Just ahead of the first anniversary of this blog.

Presenting - “The Indian reTALEs”

The book should be published shortly and for now the cover and an overview can be viewed on @ unicornbooks (dot) com.

Look forward to a similar support to the book. Please do spread the word; Post on your Facebook profiles, Tweet about it, mail your contacts, etc. Please help propagate the news of “The Indian reTALEs”.

Food Inflation @ 18%. What a joke!!

I received a SMS from my friend Vishy which reads as follows –

“Tur dal rates for one Kg as on 8 pm today (10/2/10) – Nilgiris Rs. 115/-, Spencer’s Rs. 99/-, More Rs. 79.98/-, Fresh – Rs. 88.45, Nadar Kadais – vary between 68 to 85. How can there be so much variation in a KVI like Tur Dal? Do people cross check amongst stores?”

When I spoke to him he was visiting wholesale markets in places like Gulbarga where Tur Dal was being sold for Rs. 38 per kilo. Smaller farmers who sell locally at villages might realize even less at Rs. 32 or so per Kilo. The talk in the wholesale markets was that the prices of Tur Dal had actually come down over the past few weeks. But at the retail end in an urban market, it was soaring!

First is that, this reflects rather poorly on chain stores who are supposed to aggregate volumes and therefore be able to influence the supply chain in order to create value for the consumers. This does not seem to be happening. These chains are at best sourcing from the millers. So, the question is that what or who is driving up the prices? And who is going to bring in changes and advancement of the supply chain if not Retail?

At least Tur Dal can be stored and inventories managed as a buffer to commodity price fluctuations. Now, take the case of a perishable like Tomato. A decade ago the farm gate price used to be Rs. 2 as compared to the Retail price of Rs. 8, while for Potato it used to be Rs.6.5 and Rs. 12. Nowadays, with the retail price being in the range of Rs. 20 odd, do you think there would have been a significant increase in the farm gate prices? Not at all.

Today the price of Hybrid Tomato was Rs. 18 and Potato was Rs. 23 and the sourcing price was only Rs. 3.50 and Rs.9. respectively. Again the point of whether the farmer is benefiting from the increase in prices is there. The Retail price rise is not even proportionately matched by the farm gate price. Today evening, the prices of Tomato and Potato had dropped to Rs. 16 and 11. Does the farmer get such low prices to buffer such huge price variations, by the others?

Why does this happen?

Consumer habit, dependence on the retailers and even some amount of apathy, leads consumers to overlook prices of items purchased from their regular store. Trust drives their habit and the same trust also ensures that they do not check the prices or the bill.

As a consumer, when was the last time you checked the price or the bill of some of these basic items?

P.S. – The Retail prices of tomato and potato have been averaged out across a few stores.

Supply chain tangle, untangle

Consider the picture above which tell the story of supply chain management challenges in India, so poignantly.

The large land mass with poor and in some cases nil infrastructure is challenging enough. Add to that myriad taxes and levies that are imposed from state to state. GST which was supposed to have been introduced from April 2010 appears to be delayed.

The variance between farm gate to end consumer price can be as high as 4 times for tomatoes largely because of damages which could be as much as 40%.

In isolation all these statements and nice numbers make for lively discussions and debate. When one sees a picture of a truck with paddy being ferried on a barge the reality of managing supply chain in India hits a person, hard.

Are there any solutions to manage this, apart from the clichéd statement of setting up distribution centers and transportation management?

I think there is a possibility to address this in a very different way and have written a detailed article about it, which was published recently in the Business Line, Brand Line. Pls click on the following URL to read the article.

Supply chain tangle, untangle

Photo courtesy – The Hindu.

Is Retailing being redefined?

I have been taught and have also seen it in experience that Retailing is more about the back end. It is all about aggregating volumes and leveraging this to generate value. This value helps manage the differential cost structure of a Corporate Retailer as also enables passing on some of the same to customers. The whole cycle of value creation and bettering the value proposition gets more customers, which in turn enables increased levels of volume aggregation. This helps in establishing a sustainable business cycle.

A few days ago I saw a press report titled on how Retailers now prefer to buy from wholesale markets (New Indian Express article – Retailer Shun Direct Procurement). Frankly I was flabbergasted.
 

If this is indeed the thinking and reality, all I can say is that it is fraught with dangers.

1. Everyone, including the street cart vendor purchases from the wholesale market. I agree that the volumes purchased by them Vs a chain of stores would give some price advantage to the chain. Whether the advantage is large enough to compensate for the cost structure variance and yet offer a meaningful value proposition to the customers is a huge question mark.
2. Such ideas only further arm the anti-corporate retail voices. Their main grouse has been that conventional traders would be wiped out in the short term without any sustainable long term benefit in terms of development of agriculture, cold chain, etc. When corporate chains also start being dependent on the wholesale, one only further strengthens the existing the supply chain instead of making a meaningful change.

This seems to be a short term fix-it approach with only the current operating cost being the primary consideration. The past few years have seen massive expansion of the number of stores and distribution centres. But, has not been matched with grass root level efforts to aggregate value and truly make a difference.

I am reminded of a couple of corporate efforts who did this and they have reaped rich rewards. One that comes immediately to mind is the corporate supported sunflower cultivation when sunflower oil started becoming a big thing in India. There are lots of similar stories.

If Retailers pursue private label to leverage volumes and reduced cost structure of such products, but depend on the wholesale market for fruits and vegetables, there is a clear dissonance in strategic thought. This is akin to saying that I will purchase from the stockist and distributors instead of negotiating with the manufacturers to build long term value.

I am reminded of the milk revolution started by Dr. Kurien (who was later sidelined by corporate!!). Right now India needs a fruits and vegetable revolution. It needs a GREEN REVOLUTION. A comprehensive cold chain is needed, along with enormous inputs and support to the farmers.

Corporate Retail was supposed to be the answer. If they also follow the same wholesaler route, who will now make this difference?